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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677lastminwin
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)56% (14–11, n=25)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$5.3M$264K
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22PM monthly #2PM monthly #91
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)79% (213 of 270 open)no open consensus position68% (39 of 57 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%69% of 13 at avg 44¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)38% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)15% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)23% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677lastminwin
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $69KSport Lisboa e Benfica $21K——
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23KNo $36K——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.3K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225KYes $53K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96KNo $56K——
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $51K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K——Yes $26K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KYes $56K——
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311No $7.1K——
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43No $3.3K——
Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $99No $2.1K——
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25PFK CSKA Sofia $1.9K——
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49No $636——