Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpifyoulovemejoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)56% (342–265, n=607)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$64K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #296PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus67% (18 of 27 open)70% (134 of 191 open)66% (42 of 64 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tech +12 pts n=91, ROI +9%
  • Politics +8 pts n=32, ROI +3%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)38% (won 14% of 187)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 51% of 77)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)16% (won 59% of 79)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)31% (won 91% of 152)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpifyoulovemejoseph00677
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45—Yes $1.5K—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30—No $713—
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K—No $225—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $609—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7KUtah $336——
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $375——