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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpfrgdrgdrgdg3434ndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)80% (4–1, n=5)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$21K$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #21was PM monthly #999PM monthly #147
Sides with the consensus69% (11 of 16 open)64% (208 of 325 open)no open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)25% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)75% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)0%43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpfrgdrgdrgdg3434ndb1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31KDaniil Medvedev $5.5K——
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $5.4K——
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $727——