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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpG.Hchenjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (4513–3386, n=7899)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)68% (352–163, n=515)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M$69K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #83PM monthly #22PM monthly #612PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus77% (10 of 13 open)76% (135 of 177 open)57% (4 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Finance −27 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%69% of 499 at avg 56¢, ROI +15%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 26% of 66)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)23% (won 59% of 117)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)34% (won 79% of 171)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)29% (won 86% of 145)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpG.Hchenjoseph00677
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $9.8KLakers $2.5K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $12KQuentin Halys $811——
Sharks vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
Sharks $23Sharks $53——