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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Easol69Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)no settled market75% (735–246, n=981)44% (193–241, n=434)
Consensus PnL-$304K—$68K$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #468PM monthly #14PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensus25% (2 of 8 open)no open consensus position68% (63 of 92 open)50% (8 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)—34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)—19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)—13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)—34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Easol69Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $60K——G2 $20K
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Martinez
Jurij Rodionov $2.5K—Pedro Martinez $7.0K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
——Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
——Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447
W35 Heraklion: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Astrid Lew Yan Foon
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Zantedeschi
——Aurora Zantedeschi $867Astrid Lew Yan Foon $173
Monastir: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
——Pedro Vives Marcos $571Jay Clarke $142
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
G2 $53——G2 $13K