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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (59–65, n=124)53% (29–26, n=55)75% (730–246, n=976)66% (475–241, n=716)
Consensus PnL-$301K$23K$71K-$143K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #77PM monthly #14PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)50% (1 of 2 open)65% (51 of 79 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +34 pts n=12, ROI +31%
  • NFL +27 pts n=15, ROI +22%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%97% of 34 at avg 63¢, ROI +33%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)15% (won 100% of 5)19% (won 29% of 17)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)44% (won 100% of 15)13% (won 55% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)38% (won 100% of 13)34% (won 83% of 30)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
Spirit $72KFUT Esports $297Spirit $42—
Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle
opposite sides · consensus Henry Searle
Robin Bertrand $510—Henry Searle $3.1KRobin Bertrand $4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $77K—G2 $3—
W35 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Eliska Tichackova
opposite sides · consensus Eliska Tichackova
——Eliska Tichackova $872Victoria Allen $541
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
opposite sides · consensus Alex Bolt
——Alafia Ayeni $512Alex Bolt $40