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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (17–14, n=31) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | 75% (9–3, n=12) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$239K | $8.4M | $84K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #918 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 84% (32 of 38 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 5% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 11% (won 100% of 14) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 23% (won 100% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 61% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | Clement Tabur $58K | — | — | Clement Tabur $8.5K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $26 | No $41K | — | — |
| Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Robert Strombachs same side · consensus Moise Kouame | Moise Kouame $19K | — | — | Moise Kouame $3.7K |
| Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Veronika Erjavec same side · consensus Elizabeth Mandlik | Elizabeth Mandlik $8.0K | — | — | Elizabeth Mandlik $1.6K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |