← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | RadioCCOD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) | 38% (113–182, n=295) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $3.6M | $33K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #896 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (16 of 24 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (189 of 247 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 39% of 225 at avg 20¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 74% (won 19% of 166) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 9% (won 90% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 13% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 4% (won 100% of 9) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | RadioCCOD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $98K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $76K | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | — | — | Yes $309 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |