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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBanknehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)45% (573–710, n=1283)61% (4134–2659, n=6793)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M-$719K
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #3PM monthly #714
Sides with the consensus76% (19 of 25 open)83% (25 of 30 open)80% (8 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)1% (won 18% of 93)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)26% (won 44% of 2311)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)40% (won 55% of 3625)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 87% of 3019)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBanknehcnehc
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $56K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $62K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $3.9K