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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | groth | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 65% (263–140, n=403) | 50% (20931–20602, n=41533) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $152K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #543 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 69% (20 of 29 open) | 63% (35 of 56 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 313 at avg 58¢, ROI +10% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 18% of 90) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 7% (won 59% of 22) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 15% (won 87% of 47) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 49% (won 98% of 154) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | groth | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $73K | — | — |