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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | gmpm2 | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $779K | -$6.1K | -$9.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #286 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | gmpm2 | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $3.9K | Celtics $19K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | Celtics $159 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $25K | Celtics $102K | — | — |