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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | duratio12 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4516–3391, n=7907) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 51% (30–29, n=59) | 47% (13863–15370, n=29233) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $9.4M | $13K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #873 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 85% (29 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (14 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 89% of 61 at avg 55¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 15% (won 78% of 9) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 30% (won 78% of 18) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 31% (won 95% of 19) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 25% (won 100% of 15) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | duratio12 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | Yes $74K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | No $87K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $13K | — | — | Quentin Halys $1.3K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $1.0K | — | — |