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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | donube | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 70% (709–303, n=1012) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $1.1M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #149 + pinned | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (18 of 26 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 80% (136 of 171 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | donube | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | Yes $21K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $51K | No $195 | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $172K | — | No $47K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $115K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |