← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | SingW | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 37% (1165–1986, n=3151) | 51% (28209–27250, n=55459) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | -$81K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (13 of 26 open) | 89% (33 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (47 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 1448 at avg 40¢, ROI +14% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 27% (won 41% of 390) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 37% (won 83% of 534) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 34% (won 88% of 487) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 3% (won 92% of 37) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | SingW | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.2K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |