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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | S-Works | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) | 73% (194–71, n=265) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $3.6M | -$19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #919 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 82% (18 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 72% of 259 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 20% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 5% (won 67% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 70% (won 97% of 181) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | S-Works | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | Yes $11K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.4M | Yes $350K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |