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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | strider- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3296, n=7817) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) | 88% (72–10, n=82) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $14.8M | $45K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #787 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 57% (16 of 28 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 15% (won 25% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 7% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 11% (won 78% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 67% (won 100% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | strider- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $79K | — | — |
| Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato same side · consensus Philip Henning | Philip Henning $1.6K | — | Philip Henning $3.5K | — |