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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | NagastaBagambi | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 45% (22–27, n=49) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $22K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #890 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (16 of 23 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (127 of 200 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 96% of 24 at avg 35¢, ROI +65% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 100% of 9) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 54% (won 92% of 13) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | NagastaBagambi | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $265K | No $642K | — | No $6.5K |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $357 | — | — | Under $157 |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $268K | — | — | No $6.3K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $11K | — | — | No $5.3K |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet same side · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $5.4K | — | — | Laura Samson $5.5K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $155 | — | — | Under $2.7K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $251 | — | — | Under $379 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $81 |