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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6506–6010, n=12516) | 69% (182–83, n=265) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.3M | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 73% (188 of 258 open) | 49% (94 of 192 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 33% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 14% (won 84% of 25) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 12% (won 90% of 21) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 62% (won 99% of 110) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $78K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | — | — | No $1.5K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton | Arthur Rinderknech $2 | — | Ben Shelton $5.7K | — |
| New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs same side · consensus Rider Broncs | Rider Broncs $3.6K | — | Rider Broncs $84 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $128 | — | — | Yes $3.2K |