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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3290, n=7808) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6492–5998, n=12490) | 40% (3396–5150, n=8546) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.3M | -$465K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #275 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 72% (174 of 241 open) | 69% (615 of 896 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 4% (won 35% of 170) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 5% (won 54% of 178) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.