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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 65% (90–49, n=139) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $5.8K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #133 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #884 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 58% (18 of 31 open) | 80% (8 of 10 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 11% (won 18% of 11) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 47% of 19) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 27% (won 81% of 26) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 42% (won 93% of 41) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Crypto-Joe | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Grizzlies $218K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $182K | Yes $13K | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $957 | Hawks $3.7K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $149 | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $43 | Jazz $75K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $50K | — | Yes $678 | — |