Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AzariahJubyFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)31% (20–44, n=64)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$33K$3.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #71PM monthly #543PM monthly #24PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (147 of 203 open)71% (107 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%25% of 53 at avg 19¢, ROI +1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)83% (won 14% of 44)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)15% (won 75% of 8)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)0%17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)2% (won 100% of 1)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AzariahJubyFlaznorpndb1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $56Yes $77K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $861—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—Yes $2.6K—