← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 71122 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | no settled market | 43% (165–222, n=387) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | -$142 | $42K | $2 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #430 | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #154 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 72% (18 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 71% of 7 at avg 58¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 71122 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida opposite sides · consensus Kaichi Uchida | Joel Schwaerzler $137 | — | Kaichi Uchida $34K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.8K | — | Trail Blazers $23K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A opposite sides · consensus Team Falcons | Team Falcons $812 | — | Vitality $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $307 | — | Trail Blazers $636 | — |