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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954651nvoker1Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)61% (331–211, n=542)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$25K$3.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #71PM monthly #941PM monthly #24PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus77% (17 of 22 open)68% (43 of 63 open)74% (140 of 190 open)70% (106 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Crypto −9 pts, n=20Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%48% of 555 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)43% (won 5% of 238)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)10% (won 37% of 54)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)12% (won 75% of 67)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)35% (won 94% of 196)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954651nvoker1Flaznorpndb1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $145—No $1.0M
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51KYes $5——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic $17K—Antonia Ruzic $26K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $861—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—Yes $2.6K—