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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546510scatkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–67, n=126)54% (13–11, n=24)45% (193–240, n=433)66% (479–242, n=721)
Consensus PnL-$296K$587$26K-$146K
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #998PM monthly #43PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)100% (3 of 3 open)64% (9 of 14 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%60% of 10 at avg 55¢, ROI +9%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)50% (won 40% of 5)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)0%50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)40% (won 100% of 4)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546510scatkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $193KMOUZ $686G2 $1.6K—
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
Johannus Monday $312—Johannus Monday $79Johannus Monday $405
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
opposite sides · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
——Elena Ruxandra Bertea $414Teodora Miron $128
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus G2
G2 $14KG2 $418——
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
——Sumit Nagal $7.5KSumit Nagal $3.0K