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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 0xc5B50 | RN1 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | no settled market | 67% (429–211, n=640) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | — | -$142K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #534 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 51% (32 of 63 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | — | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | — | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | — | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | — | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 0xc5B50 | RN1 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $117K | — | Kings $156 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $6.9K | — | Magic $2.5K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | Magic $5.4K | — | Magic $25K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.9K | — | Thunder $689 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $304 | — | Trail Blazers $580 | — |