Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)70% (1671–718, n=2389)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$146K$2.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #166PM monthly #506PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (37 of 69 open)64% (18 of 28 open)62% (8 of 13 open)54% (53 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +34 pts n=379, ROI +6%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=497, ROI +25%
  • NFL +27 pts n=65, ROI +9%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1297 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 87% of 76)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 163)—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 300)—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 758)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eferrariChampions2026primmRN1
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $95Over $1.1KUnder $1.5KOver $888
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13Over $24Under $1.8KOver $231
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $4.7KFlorida Atlantic $24KFlorida Atlantic $14K
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Oilers $9Ducks $21K—Oilers $649
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $810James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $434
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $1.4KJaguars $215K—Jaguars $7.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $580Jaguars $42K—Jaguars $1.5K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Utah $8Canadiens $25K——
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $13K—UTSA $790
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
Devils $8Blues $11K——
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $9.7K—Southern Miss $34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $913——Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.4K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $640Over $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $242
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $469
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $458
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $103—Florida Atlantic $762
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $510Jaguars $180
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
Golden Knights $3——Red Wings $328
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3—Under $326
Canucks vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $22——Canucks $95
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bruins
Bruins $55——Penguins $52
Flyers vs. Rangers
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $37——Flyers $68
Blues vs. Devils
same side · consensus Devils
Devils $92Devils $34K——
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Canadiens $26Canadiens $26K——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $12K—Ravens $5.4K
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $44——No $7.1K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.7K—Under $3.2K
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $4.1K—Yuta Shimizu $341
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $716—Ravens $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Canucks $1——Canucks $867
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6——Under $621
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $350—Jaguars $85
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $73——Jaguars $177
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $26——No $174
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $29——Over $83
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rangers
Rangers $53——Rangers $41
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9——Over $6