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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)74% (1459–506, n=1965)46% (560–667, n=1227)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$97K$9.4M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #180PM monthly #2PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus80% (32 of 40 open)60% (15 of 25 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1134 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 90% of 62)11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 99% of 146)35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 266)35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 660)20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankprimm
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.9KNo $327K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.8KNo $64K—