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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)70% (1671–718, n=2389)45% (572–710, n=1282)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$146K$7.9M$2.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #166PM monthly #2PM monthly #506PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (37 of 69 open)77% (27 of 35 open)64% (18 of 28 open)54% (53 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +34 pts n=379, ROI +6%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=497, ROI +25%
  • NFL +27 pts n=65, ROI +9%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1297 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 87% of 76)10% (won 82% of 60)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 163)35% (won 98% of 204)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 100% of 202)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 758)20% (won 100% of 116)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $1.4KRavens $292KJaguars $215KJaguars $7.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $580Ravens $194KJaguars $42KJaguars $1.5K
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Oilers $9—Ducks $21KOilers $649
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $92KRavens $12KRavens $5.4K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $293Ravens $716Ravens $1.2K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $95—Over $1.1KOver $888
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13—Over $24Over $231
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Utah $8—Canadiens $25K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——UTSA $4.7KFlorida Atlantic $14K
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
——Florida Atlantic $13KUTSA $790
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
Devils $8—Blues $11K—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $9.7KSouthern Miss $34
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $837—Jaguars $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $913——Ravens $1.8K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KUnder $752—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.1K—Jaguars $180
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——UTSA $103Florida Atlantic $762
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
Golden Knights $3——Red Wings $328
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3Under $326
Canucks vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $22——Canucks $95
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bruins
Bruins $55——Penguins $52
Flyers vs. Rangers
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $37——Flyers $68
Blues vs. Devils
same side · consensus Devils
Devils $92—Devils $34K—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Canadiens $26—Canadiens $26K—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $44——No $7.1K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $3.7KUnder $3.2K
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
——Yuta Shimizu $4.1KYuta Shimizu $341
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $1.7K—Warriors $520
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
——Southern Miss $810Southern Miss $434
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Canucks $1——Canucks $867
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6——Under $621
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $350Jaguars $85
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Jaguars $73——Jaguars $177
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $26——No $174
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $29——Over $83
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rangers
Rangers $53——Rangers $41
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9——Over $6