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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 68% (360–171, n=531) | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.2K | -$115K | $251K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #362 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #19 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (93 of 150 open) | 57% (8 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI −34% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 44% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $13K | Jazz $22K |
| Magic vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $4.0K | Kings $3.5K |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $9.1K | Suns $111K |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $492 | Suns $39K |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $170 | Kings $585 |