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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 67% (354–171, n=525) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.2K | $779K | -$102K | $111K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #362 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #114 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 54% (56 of 104 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $19K | 76ers $185 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $113K | Celtics $9.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $340 | Celtics $181 | — |