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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 080526 | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (31–1, n=32) | 57% (4516–3391, n=7907) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $7.8M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #752 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (34 of 37 open) | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 85% (29 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 27 at avg 72¢, ROI +26% | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 100% of 12) | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 100% of 13) | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 080526 | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | Yes $74K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.4K | Yes $117 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $56 | No $87K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $51K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | No $1.0K |