PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00CORGIIomnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)63% (375–222, n=597)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)45% (501–606, n=1107)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$4.4M$3.4M$12.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19PM monthly #126PM monthly #17PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)49% (18 of 37 open)73% (24 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 91% of 35)8% (won 58% of 836)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢0%55% (won 99% of 209)21% (won 85% of 2140)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 100% of 128)38% (won 94% of 3856)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up0%2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3242)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00CORGIIomnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
—MOUZ $33KSpirit $28K—
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $12KSpirit $227—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—TYLOO $3.6KFURIA $103—
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
—Envy $11KEnvy $9—