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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorpwhosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)58% (1113–790, n=1903)
Consensus PnL—$7.3M$3.6M-$38K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #11was PM monthly #695
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)75% (206 of 274 open)43% (3 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Tennis −3 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%58% of 2066 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)28% (won 57% of 578)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)35% (won 88% of 718)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorpwhosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $46Yes $794
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $162Yes $201
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $73Yes $265
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $139Yes $162