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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JabJabichRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4535–3309, n=7844)61% (178–115, n=293)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL—$8.0M$110K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #273PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (16 of 25 open)62% (8 of 13 open)56% (44 of 79 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%86% of 217 at avg 59¢, ROI +14%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)8% (won 67% of 18)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1743)17% (won 78% of 37)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2080)49% (won 86% of 106)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2114)26% (won 96% of 56)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JabJabichRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $43K—Jaguars $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $26K—Jaguars $1.5K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $1.8K—Florida Atlantic $736
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $500—Suns $1.6K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $266—Warriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $15K—Ravens $2.8K