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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1
Record (consensus markets)99% (2651–38, n=2689)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$137K$8.9M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656was PM monthly #344PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (10 of 17 open)66% (123 of 187 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134—
Settled positions, side won99% of 2542 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 56% of 39)29% (won 66% of 2055)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2492)30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $5.4KCarole Monnet $9.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Alex Michelsen $3.9KCarlos Alcaraz $9.7K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $357Under $157
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $86KNo $4.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Matteo Berrettini $22KMatteo Berrettini $14K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $11KNo $5.3K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $251Under $379
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $194Over $81