Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)99% (2735–38, n=2773)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)
Consensus PnL$146K$7.8M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656PM monthly #54PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (12 of 18 open)70% (181 of 259 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won99% of 2568 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 56% of 39)29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2518)30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorp
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—KKS Lech Poznań $60KSport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
—Kimmer Coppejans $81Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.0K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200KYes $28K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $93KNo $47K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $44KNo $45K