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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)99% (2681–38, n=2719)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$144K$7.8M$3.3M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656PM monthly #71PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (14 of 19 open)72% (146 of 202 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won99% of 2568 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 56% of 39)29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2518)30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $13KQuentin Halys $861—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5.8KYes $2.6K—