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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)99% (2728–38, n=2766)58% (4539–3321, n=7860)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)
Consensus PnL$146K$7.8M$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656PM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (11 of 19 open)88% (22 of 25 open)75% (86 of 114 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won99% of 2635 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 59% of 41)29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2583)30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.5KYes $50K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Zeynep Sonmez $835—Claire Liu $17K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11K—Under $254
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5.8K—No $494
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $45No $64K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5KNo $2.4K—