No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #24 · holds 28 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #24 + pinned
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Top consensus positions
28 in listed consensus markets · 19 of 28 on the consensus side (68%)- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers $122K · now 50¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (55% of 22)
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageDplus KIA $106K · now 93¢ · in at 78¢with the consensus (72% of 50)
- Raptors vs. TimberwolvesRaptors $75K · now 51¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (32% of 28)
- Spread: Pacers (-7.5)Nets $65K · now 55¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (29% of 18)
- LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageT1 $65K · now 89¢ · in at 88¢with the consensus (50% of 8)
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageGen.G $65K · now 92¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (60% of 10)
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Dplus KIA $56K · now 81¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (41% of 43)
- Pistons vs. 76ersPistons $52K · now 52¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (32% of 27)
Specialties
4,327 settled consensus markets · held side won 51% at an average entry of 49¢- College Basketball
+5 pts
side won 54% of 493 · avg entry 49¢
ROI −9%
- NHL
+3 pts
side won 52% of 308 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +2%
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 44% of 386 at an average 44¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 22% of 598)
- 30–50¢: 43%(won 45% of 1870)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 59% of 1259)
- 70¢ and up: 14%(won 79% of 600)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.