Known as xzsa since Nov 15 2026 · Previously known as: xzsa (Nov 9 – Nov 15 2026)
Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 22% (2–7, n=9) · PM monthly #961 · holds 19 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$12.8K
Record
2W / 7L
Win Rate
22.0%
of 9 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1324
Source
PM monthly #961
Record (90 d)
2/9 · 22%
Trades
490
Markets
39
Volume
$6.7K
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Top consensus positions
19 in listed consensus markets · 10 of 19 on the consensus side (53%)- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes $370 · now 25¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes $256 · now 28¢ · in at 4¢with the consensus (42% of 19)
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?Yes $142 · now 45¢ · in at 11¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?Yes $100 · now 7¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (71% of 7)
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes $65 · now 2¢ · in at 3¢with the consensus (41% of 17)
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes $60 · now 22¢ · in at 5¢with the consensus (33% of 18)
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?Yes $53 · now 10¢ · in at 3¢with the consensus (56% of 9)
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 17 to November 24, 2026?Yes $37 · now 2¢ · in at 1¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 12¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where xzsa's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.