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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xzsa | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (3–2, n=5) | 45% (519–636, n=1155) | 48% (12512–13482, n=25994) | 50% (884–897, n=1781) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #932 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 76% (34 of 45 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) | 62% (8 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 8¢, ROI +93% | 98% of 532 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24403 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 823 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 100% (won 100% of 3) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2518) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 189) | 22% (won 94% of 5440) | 41% (won 99% of 338) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 34% (won 99% of 183) | 36% (won 99% of 8828) | 49% (won 99% of 402) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7617) | 5% (won 100% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xzsa | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota vs. Indiana opposite sides · consensus Minnesota | — | — | Indiana $13K | Minnesota $1.2K |
| Spread: Kansas (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kansas | — | — | TCU $2.1K | Kansas $5.5K |
| Arizona State vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $667 | Over $2.0K |
| Spread: BYU (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus BYU | — | — | Arizona State $66 | BYU $1.1K |
| Kansas vs. TCU same side · consensus Kansas | — | — | Kansas $6.7K | Kansas $236 |
| Arizona State vs. BYU: O/U 37.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.8K | Over $9 |
| Utah vs. Cincinnati: O/U 65.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $3.3K | Under $143 |