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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| traba | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (16–17, n=33) | 45% (503–616, n=1119) | 50% (13500–13645, n=27145) | 69% (43–19, n=62) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.4K | $11.1M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #814 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 8% (won 58% of 840) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 21% (won 86% of 2168) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 38% (won 94% of 3916) | 54% (won 52% of 114) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 32% (won 99% of 3284) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | traba | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Wizards $1.2K | Wizards $197K | Cavaliers $1.5K | — |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Warriors $102K | Timberwolves $528 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $5.4K | 76ers $104 | — |
| Heat vs. Hawks same side · consensus Heat | Heat $7 | — | Heat $367 | — |