PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
traba00gringo00omnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)48% (16–17, n=33)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13500–13645, n=27145)45% (503–616, n=1119)
Consensus PnL-$3.4K$3.5M$3.5M$11.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #822was PM monthly #19PM monthly #15PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position54% (13 of 24 open)66% (35 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—0%8% (won 58% of 840)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—0%21% (won 86% of 2168)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)38% (won 94% of 3916)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%32% (won 99% of 3284)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettraba00gringo00omnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $1.2K—Cavaliers $1.5KWizards $197K
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $528Warriors $102K
76ers vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $104Pacers $5.4K
Heat vs. Hawks
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $7—Heat $367—