PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)34% (2090–3981, n=6071)62% (386–233, n=619)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13782–13915, n=27697)
Consensus PnL-$13K$4.5M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #921PM monthly #78was PM monthly #373PM monthly #20
Sides with the consensus43% (6 of 14 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 99% of 214)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 129)42% (won 96% of 47)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $62——Under $2.4K
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
opposite sides · consensus Paula Badosa
Harriet Dart $9——Paula Badosa $418
W75 Glasgow: Eliz Maloney vs Fiona Crawley
opposite sides · consensus Fiona Crawley
Eliz Maloney $1——Fiona Crawley $196