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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| primm | RN1 | uprightuser | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) | 80% (233–60, n=293) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$54K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | was PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (20 of 30 open) | 64% (116 of 180 open) | 98% (42 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 55% of 306 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 36% (won 3% of 110) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 6% (won 24% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 8% (won 73% of 26) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 50% (won 93% of 153) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | RN1 | uprightuser |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU opposite sides · consensus SMU | SMU $32K | Virginia Tech $4.5K | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | South Florida $39 | East Carolina $24K | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | Nevada $7.4K | New Mexico $2.2K | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | South Florida $3.7K | East Carolina $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | Nebraska $2.1K | Illinois $780 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | Nevada $1.3K | New Mexico $1.4K | — |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.8K | Under $803 | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Illinois (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | Nebraska $1.3K | Illinois $418 | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | South Florida $324 | East Carolina $903 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $416 | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | Illinois $91 | Nebraska $308 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | Virginia Tech $189 | SMU $112 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-10.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $3.5K | Virginia Tech $1.8K | — |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | SMU $2.8K | SMU $1.2K | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.7K | Over $584 | — |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $31 | Over $2.2K | — |
| Spread: SMU (-7.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $5 | Virginia Tech $1.1K | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $164 | Over $43 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | SMU $3 | SMU $119 | — |