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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | uprightuser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) | 80% (233–60, n=293) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$54K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 56% (31 of 55 open) | 100% (43 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 55% of 306 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 36% (won 3% of 110) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 6% (won 24% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 8% (won 73% of 26) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 50% (won 93% of 153) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | uprightuser |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $7.4K | Under $5.8K | — |
| Spread: TCU (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Arizona $5.8K | TCU $607 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.7K | Arizona $1.5K | — |
| Spread: TCU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Arizona $2.3K | TCU $750 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $1.0K | Arizona $2.0K | — |
| Spread: TCU (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | Arizona $754 | TCU $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.2K | Arizona $872 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) same side · consensus TCU | — | TCU $9.1K | TCU $792 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $834 | TCU $2.3K | — |