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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1FlaznorpUpTheBlues
| primm | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) | 67% (30–15, n=45) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $14.8M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #921 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (14 of 19 open) | 59% (76 of 128 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 89% of 27 at avg 68¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 33% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 56% (won 93% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $281 | — |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | Under $798 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | Virginia Tech $412 | SMU $355 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $251 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | Virginia Tech $226 | SMU $75 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois same side · consensus Nebraska | Nebraska $580 | Nebraska $8.0K | — |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | SMU $3.4K | SMU $639 | — |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $20 | Over $1.3K | — |
| Spread: SMU (-7.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $5 | Virginia Tech $387 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | SMU $3 | SMU $77 | — |