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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 82% (14–3, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $14K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #778 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 61% (97 of 159 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 71% (won 92% of 12) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | No $148 | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | — | No $6.5K | — |