← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pnhct | CORGII | RN1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (372–218, n=590) | 48% (11699–12471, n=24170) | 50% (13183–13335, n=26518) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.4M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #162 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #15 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 75% (12 of 16 open) | 22% (2 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −9 pts, n=99 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 287 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 91% of 10018 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 7% of 56) | 9% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 56% of 2452) | 8% (won 58% of 836) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 36% of 77) | 55% (won 99% of 209) | 22% (won 94% of 5319) | 21% (won 85% of 2128) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 100) | 34% (won 100% of 127) | 36% (won 99% of 8623) | 38% (won 94% of 3835) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 83% of 54) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7308) | 32% (won 99% of 3219) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pnhct | CORGII | RN1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Carl Overbeck opposite sides · consensus Carl Overbeck | — | — | Carl Overbeck $2.3K | Yaroslav Demin $317 |
| Seoul: Seong-Chan Hong vs Yibing Wu opposite sides · consensus Seong-Chan Hong | — | — | Seong-Chan Hong $539 | Yibing Wu $10 |