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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| nigiri99 | paperclip-maxxer | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (312–261, n=573) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 57% (37–28, n=65) |
| Consensus PnL | $425K | $90K | $440K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #135 | PM monthly #369 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (56 of 101 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 4 at avg 70¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 32% of 72) | 0% | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 55% of 121) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 69% of 222) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 43% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 98% of 89) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | nigiri99 | paperclip-maxxer | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | — | Gen.G $90K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | Yes $2.5K | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $337K | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $211K |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $642 | Yes $14 |